2022年8月3日,

美國商業數據庫Morning Consult在一份報告中稱，美國近12%的成年人7月工資或收入減少，盡管就業增長創曆史新高。Morning Consult稱，報告工資或收入減少的成年人比例從6月的11%上升至7月的11.7%。該機構首席經濟學家約翰·利爾(John Leer)在一份關於該報告的新聞稿中表示:“美國勞動力市場依然強勁，但最好的日子可能已經過去。”隨著美聯儲大幅提高利率以對抗高通脹，企業正在放緩招聘和擴張計劃，從火熱的勞動力市場釋放出動力。經濟放緩的速度和程度是否足以使經濟陷入衰退，還有待觀察。”Unemployment reached a record high of 14.8% in April 2020, with the loss of some 20 million jobs in the aftermath of the coronavirus breakout. Jobs recovery has been strong since, with the unemployment rate staying at 3.6% since April this year, below the 4% defined by the Federal Reserve as “maximum employment.”Morning Consult said its data on pay loss, drawn from 20,000 surveys per week conducted through July, was in strong positive correlation with initial US unemployment claims that have moved higher in recent weeks.Breaking down the data, Morning Consult said lower-income households bore the brunt of the lost pay. As of the week ending July 23, 13.9% of adults from households earning less than $50,000 reported losing pay in the previous week, an increase of 1.3 percentage points from a series low at the beginning of June. Lost pay has also been concentrated in certain sectors, including leisure and hospitality and construction.The US Labor Department is due to release on Friday the monthly nonfarm payrolls report for July. The nonfarm payrolls report has beaten forecasts for the past three months, with economists forecasting a 250,000-jobs growth for July over June’s 372,000.US jobless claims, meanwhile, hit the highest level since January last week, according to weekly Labor Department data. Claims came in at 256,000 during the week ended July 23, the first time they have done so since the week to January 22. https://sputniknews.com/20220728/us-q2-gdp-down-09-after-q1-16-drop-technically-placing-economy-in-recession-1097890794.html Nearly 12% of US Adults Lost Income in July Despite Record Job Growth - Morning Consult © AP Photo / Elaine ThompsonIn this Thursday, June 4, 2020 file photo, a customer walks out of a U.S. Post Office branch and under a banner advertising a job opening, in Seattle. The job market took a big step toward healing in May 2020, though plenty of damage remains, as a record level of hiring followed record layoffs in March and April. The Labor Department reported Tuesday, July 7, 2020 that the number of available jobs rose sharply as well, but remained far below pre-pandemic levels. © AP Photo / Elaine Thompson Subscribe WASHINGTON (Sputnik) - Nearly 12% of adults in the United States lost pay or income in July, the business database Morning Consult said in a report on Wednesday that challenged the notion of record US jobs growth. The share of adults reporting lost pay or income ticked up from 11% in June to 11.7% in July, Morning Consult said. “The US labor market remains strong, but its best days may now be in the rearview mirror,” John Leer, chief economist at the agency, said in a news release on the report. “With the Fed raising interest rates aggressively to combat high inflation, businesses are slowing hiring and expansion plans, releasing steam from a red-hot labor market. Whether that slowdown is swift and severe enough to tip the economy into a recession remains to be seen.” Unemployment reached a record high of 14.8% in April 2020, with the loss of some 20 million jobs in the aftermath of the coronavirus breakout. Jobs recovery has been strong since, with the unemployment rate staying at 3.6% since April this year, below the 4% defined by the Federal Reserve as “maximum employment.” Morning Consult said its data on pay loss, drawn from 20,000 surveys per week conducted through July, was in strong positive correlation with initial US unemployment claims that have moved higher in recent weeks.